Playoff picture: SSS and IT (both confirmed top 2) will play Qualifier 1 and get two chances to reach the Final. RRP are in strong position at 3rd. The 4th playoff spot is the real fight — IC are currently 4th but with negative NRR, MSP (2W, 2L) and KSO (1W, 3L) are desperately pushing. MSP need a win + some help; KSO essentially need a miracle.

Both teams are fighting for survival in LLC 2026’s final league round. Mumbai Spartans (2W-2L) have an outside chance of making the top 4 if they win and IC lose. They showed real heart when Chadwick Walton’s six sixes in Match 4 beat India Tigers, and RRP were chased down in a stunning 163-run chase in 13.3 overs (Match 9). Raina and Brathwaite are dangerous when confident.

Konark Suryas Odisha’s road is nearly closed. With 1 win from 4 completed matches (plus 2 abandonments), and a negative NRR of -0.85, they need to win by a big margin AND hope other results go their way — a near-impossible combination. KSO showed they can beat teams (won vs IC), but their batting has collapsed alarmingly against better sides. This is effectively a legacy match for the 2025 runners-up.

Mumbai Spartans are slight favourites — their recent form (2 wins in last 3 including stunning RRP chase) gives them momentum. Raina and Brathwaite are the most dangerous match-winners on the pitch. KSO’s 2025 Final heroics feel distant now — their 2026 campaign has been undermined by too many batting collapses and rain abandonments at critical moments.